PREDICTABLE is a daily newsletter by Stu Burguiere that analyses news through prediction markets, especially the 2026 midterm elections. Recent issues examine whether market prices can be manipulated, what late polling shifts mean for Republicans, and how to read probabilistic election results, alongside promotional pushes for a fantasy league and paid betting picks.
Website: https://predictable.substack.com
An independent research newsletter that works through academic papers on market structure, quantitative and systematic trading, with the formulas and worked numerical examples. Readers get critical readings of recent finance research on commodity currencies, prediction markets and options pricing.
The official newsletter of Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, mixing data-driven analysis of political races using market odds and polling with essays on forecasting skills. Readers get market-based takes on the 2026 US midterms and reflections on how prediction markets shape thinking.
Research reports on Asia's Web3 and crypto markets, with a focus on Korea, covering topics such as prediction markets, tokenized assets and stablecoins. Reports include key takeaways, data-backed market sizing and regulatory context, and are also published in Korean.
A weekly newsletter that turns capital markets class material into short explainers on current finance topics such as prediction markets, Treasury yields and football club finances. Readers get framework-based analysis that uses recent data and links to sources.
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