Back

Signal & Noise

Ghost
research.marvoproduction-apps.de· irregular· Published 4 months ago

A series of first-person experiments testing whether AI agent simulations and classic betting strategies can beat Polymarket prediction prices, reported with paper trading and statistical rigor. Readers get candid write-ups of what failed, with data, sample sizes and reasoning shown.

polymarketprediction marketsmirofishai agentspaper tradingfavorite-longshot biasbacktestingforecastingstatisticscalibrationmulti-agent simulationdata analysis
Platform
Ghost
Frequency
Irregular
Latest issue
Jun 21, 2026
Language
English
Written for
Data scientists and curious builders interested in forecasting and prediction markets
Tone
analytical
Tracked since
Oct 25, 2026

Website: https://research.marvoproduction-apps.de/